The FOMC meeting on March 18-19, 2025, is likely to result in the Federal Reserve keeping rates at 4.25%-4.50%, with a neutral-to-cautious tone, though a hawkish shift could emerge if inflation concerns resurface.
Crypto prices, such as Bitcoin, might stagnate or drop from their current $83,000-$76,000 range, especially if a hawkish outcome strengthens the dollar and yields, pressuring risk assets.
Even a dovish surprise like a rate cut may fail to ignite a sustained rally, given potential market skepticism and overriding macro uncertainties, while the end of quantitative tightening offers only modest support at best.
Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research
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