The End of The Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle? Cathie Wood Knows Why

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Bitcoin has been the drama queen of digital assets, dancing to the same four-year tune since it burst onto the scene.

Every 210,000 blocks or so, a mysterious halving event slashes Bitcoin’s supply by half, sparking busts, booms, and those classic price moves that have traders clutching their coffee.

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This four-year cycle has basically been Bitcoin’s signature move, predictable, hypnotic, and some says unavoidable.

The big players have injected enough muscle into the market

Enter Cathie Wood, legendary tech investor and the face behind Ark Invest. She’s flipping the script on Bitcoin’s traditional performance.

Wood argues the crypto market’s established halving rhythm is starting to fade into history, because today’s market isn’t the market we know anymore.

The story is morphing as institutional investors crash the party, ETFs replace retail frenzies, and Bitcoin starts behaving less like a rebellious teenager and more like a grown-up asset.

Talking to Fox Business, Wood predicted the old “halving equals crazy volatility” rulebook is getting tossed aside.

Bitcoin’s volatile swings, which once plunged 75-90% during bear markets, are mellowing out.

The big players, think hedge funds and massive ETFs, have injected enough muscle into the market to dampen those gut-wrenching dives.

According to Wood, “We may have seen the low a couple of weeks ago,” which, if true, means Bitcoin’s rollercoaster is starting to level off.

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Bitcoin played the safe haven, like gold during global crises

The classic halving frenzy was powered by frantic retail buyers scrambling for scarce coins. Now, capital flows lean heavily on ETFs and corporate balance sheets, making Bitcoin’s movements look a lot less like a casino gamble and more like Wall Street’s version of a slow dance.

Wood sees Bitcoin shifting its personality from “risk-off” shelter to “risk-on” asset, meaning it’s acting in sync with stocks.

Back in the day, Bitcoin played the safe haven, like gold during global crises, the European debt debacle or the 2023 US regional banking chaos.

Those were the times when everyone piled into Bitcoin to dodge risk. But now, gold has reclaimed that risk-off throne.

“Gold is more the hedge against geopolitical drama now,” Wood says with a wink, pointing to investors climbing the financial “wall of worry” by hunkering down in precious metals while throwing their chips on Bitcoin for growth.

Stablecoins are the go-to store of value in emerging markets

Once predicting Bitcoin at a stratospheric $1.5 million by 2030, Wood recently trimmed that forecast by $300,000.

The reason? Stablecoins are quietly nibbling at Bitcoin’s role as the go-to store of value in emerging markets. Even heroes face a few doubts on their quest.

If Bitcoin’s four-year cycle was a sci-fi script, Wood just dropped the plot twist that sends the hero into uncharted territory.

Institutional power, ETFs, and shifting risk profiles mean the next chapter promises to be anything but predictable.


Disclosure:This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Kriptoworld.com accepts no liability for any errors in the articles or for any financial loss resulting from incorrect information.

András Mészáros
Written by András Mészáros
Cryptocurrency and Web3 expert, founder of Kriptoworld
LinkedIn | X (Twitter) | More articles

With years of experience covering the blockchain space, András delivers insightful reporting on DeFi, tokenization, altcoins, and crypto regulations shaping the digital economy.

📅 Published: December 12, 2025 • 🕓 Last updated: December 12, 2025
✉️ Contact: [email protected]

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