The Bitcoin four-year cycle is likely far from extinct. Saad Ahmed, Gemini’s head honcho for Asia-Pacific, thinks this emotional dance will keep happening, just maybe not in the exact same choreography.
Market balance
At the recent Token2049 bash in Singapore, Ahmed told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s cyclic madness comes down to the classic script, people get hyped, prices rocket skyward, then panic ensues, triggering a crash, and finally, the market finds some kind of balance, until the cycle starts all over again.
But there’s a twist in this cycle because with institutions crashing the crypto party, the market might calm down a bit.
Ahmed reckons volatility won’t vanish, but it could lose some of its more dramatic flares.
Why? Because, at the core, these cycles are human emotions in disguise, wearing digital suits.
Stay ahead in the crypto world – follow us on X for the latest updates, insights, and trends!🚀
Halving rhythm
The debate on whether this quirky four-year party is still kicking has been buzzing louder lately.
Analytics firm Glassnode chimed in, asserting that Bitcoin’s recent price moves still seem to follow this legendary halving rhythm. Now, mark your calendars, October might be the month it all climaxes again.
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that if history echoes 2020, Bitcoin’s price peak is due this October, roughly 550 days after the last halving.
The window for major gains is closing fast, he warns, signaling a slim chance for more price fireworks.
Coincidentally, October 1 launched Q4, and Coinglass’ experts said that historically Bitcoin’s rockstar quarter since 2013, with an average return of a 79.39%.
Just to keep the hype going, Bitcoin blasted up 11.5% over seven days, flirting with its ATH of $124K set back in August.
Up year
Still, not everyone is betting on the classic four-year plot. Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s chief investment officer, shrugged off the idea of Bitcoin strictly sticking to this cycle.
He’s optimistic about 2026, predicting it’ll be an up year and that a bright run could be on the horizon for the next few years.
So, the Bitcoin story continues, emotional highs, institutional calm, and cycles that refuse to die but demand reinvention.
Bitcoin’s rhythm mixes chaos and order in a way no financial scriptwriter could resist.
Disclosure:This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Kriptoworld.com accepts no liability for any errors in the articles or for any financial loss resulting from incorrect information.
Cryptocurrency and Web3 expert, founder of Kriptoworld
LinkedIn | X (Twitter) | More articles
With years of experience covering the blockchain space, András delivers insightful reporting on DeFi, tokenization, altcoins, and crypto regulations shaping the digital economy.
📅 Published: October 5, 2025 • 🕓 Last updated: October 5, 2025
✉️ Contact: [email protected]
