Prediction markets are quietly becoming one of the fastest-growing information layers in finance.

The market is no longer waiting for analysts or quarterly reports to interpret events, It’s pricing probabilities in real time.

Global prediction market trading volume grew from roughly $16 billion in 2024 to approximately more than $60 billion in 2025, while monthly trading activity increased from around $1.2 billion in early 2025, and peaked at about $25 billion in early 2026.

Elections, central bank meetings, geopolitical events, and sports are increasingly becoming tradable information flows, with users allocating capital directly around outcomes rather than simply reacting after the fact.

Prediction markets represent a structural shift in how markets process information. Traditional systems publish expectations periodically; prediction markets update continuously. Every new headline, macro event, or policy shift immediately changes probabilities and prices.

This aligns closely with a broader evolution we are seeing across the industry. As digital asset markets expand into tokenized assets, stablecoins, and broader onchain financial systems, prediction markets are emerging as another layer of blockchain-based infrastructure.

These platforms increasingly reflect how financial markets are evolving toward 24/7, event-driven systems capable of processing liquidity, sentiment, and pricing signals continuously across global markets.

Ignacio Aguirre, CMO at Bitget

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