Gemini’s Next Big Bet: Launching Its Own Prediction Market

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Just when you thought Gemini was taking it easy after its blockbuster public debut, the crypto exchange is plotting a new move, jumping straight into the high-stakes world of prediction markets.

You know, where people bet on who’ll win the next election or if that weird weather pattern will actually show up.

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Gemini’s IPO was only the opening act

Gemini is apparently revving to launch its own prediction markets platform “as soon as possible.”

According to Bloomberg’s inside sources, they’ve already nudged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, filing to operate a derivatives exchange.

If all goes well, you’ll soon be able to bet on everything from real-world events to whatever else catches your fancy, all under Gemini’s crypto umbrella.

Flashback to September, when Gemini stormed the public markets, raking in $433 million at a $4.4 billion valuation. But it seems the IPO excitement was only the opening act.

Betting on anything

Prediction markets have been on fire lately. Platforms like Kalshi have shattered their own records, crossing $1.2 billion in trading volume last week.

Not far behind, Polymarket, their archrival also hit the billion-dollar milestone, proving there’s serious appetite for betting on… well, anything.

Political outcomes, sports, maybe even the next surprise crypto crash.

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Crypto meets crystal ball

Industry expert say Gemini’s move puts it shoulder-to-shoulder with other big players, MetaMask, Coinbase, DraftKings, and even Sam Altman’s identity-based World app, all neck-deep in prediction market integration. The big dogs are realizing this market’s too juicy to ignore.

And guess who’s sniffing around? The big old New York Stock Exchange’s parent, Intercontinental Exchange, dropped a cool $2 billion on Polymarket, valuing it at $9 billion.

Kalshi’s no slouch either, cruising on multibillion-dollar valuations. So, as Gemini prepares to roll out its derivatives playground, it’s pretty clear this is the start of a ride where crypto meets crystal ball.

Betting on the future never looked so digital, and maybe just a little bit smarter.


Editor’s Take:

Gemini’s leap into prediction markets feels less like a gamble and more like a calculated evolution.

The Winklevoss twins clearly see the writing on the wall — speculation is no longer a niche hobby, it’s becoming a structured financial instrument.

If they pull this off, Gemini could bridge Wall Street-level regulation with the meme-energy of crypto markets.

It’s bold, risky, and perfectly on brand for 2025’s version of crypto capitalism.

You may be interested in: Bitcoin Miner CleanSpark Charges Full Throttle into AI and High-Performance Computing


Disclosure:This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Kriptoworld.com accepts no liability for any errors in the articles or for any financial loss resulting from incorrect information.

András Mészáros
Written by András Mészáros
Cryptocurrency and Web3 expert, founder of Kriptoworld
LinkedIn | X (Twitter) | More articles

With years of experience covering the blockchain space, András delivers insightful reporting on DeFi, tokenization, altcoins, and crypto regulations shaping the digital economy.

📅 Published: November 6, 2025 • 🕓 Last updated: November 6, 2025
✉️ Contact: [email protected]

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